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As always, stay alert for movements of bond yields and CDS spreads on GIIPS debt, should these start moving, that alone can move markets. The meeting is not expected to yield any change in Fed policy, but markets will nonetheless be sensitive to even minor hints of possible changes. Bernanke is expected to sound less optimistic than he did last month. Still, the consensus is that there will be no new easing unless things get much worse for the US, especially …



The context in which last week main market movers appeared is key, so here’s a quick review of what had been driving markets. Steadily Worsening EU Sovereign Debt & Banking Crisis: As we’ve written about repeatedly in prior weeks’ posts, the latest EU rescue plan is backfiring badly, as reflected in the S&P 500 index from the week of July 24 onwards. While it was understood that Greece would default at some point, the understanding was that the EU would protect …